Atlanta Falcons v. New England Patriots Betting Odds and Tips – 10.22.2017

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We all know the story. The Atlanta Falcons up by 25 over The Patriots, until Tom Brady orchestrated the greatest Super Bowl comeback in history. Now, 9 months later, Former NFL MVP Matt Ryan is struggling and New England looks mortal. Can Atlanta turn the tides on their rematch?

Odds

Spread

Atlanta – -3 1/2 (-120)

New England – +3 1/2 (EVEN)

Moneyline

Atlanta – (+150)

New England – (-170)

Total Over/Under – 56 1/2

Over – (-110)

Under – (-110)

So let’s start with the obvious, Tom Brady is on a beach somewhere and every year a younger Clone plays for him, he just keeps getting better with age. 6 games in he has thrown for just under 2000 yards, on pace for 5300+ yards, 35 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions.

And yet, it isn’t translating directly to wins, with the Patriots sitting at 4-2, very nearly giving up last weeks bout to the lowly Jets. Somehow, Brady was only the top passer in 2 matchups.

Unsurprisingly, they have also only had a top rusher in 2 matchups, with no semblance of a running game. Mike Gillislee was supposed to change that as one of New England’s big offseason signings but after a 3 touchdown week one performance he has succeeded in rushing for more than 55 yards once all season.

Add that to the fact that The Patriots have the 32nd ranked Defense in the league and you can see how the whole team flows through Brady, creating a very fragile situation for the club.

On the other side, the 3-2 Falcons have the 5th ranked offense, led by Matt Ryan. Ryan absolutely blew the tires off the league a year ago, but now sits at 13th in passing yards, with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. This is the game for him to turn things around, facing such a porous defense.

Possibly connected to Ryan’s struggles are the struggles of Julio Jones. He’s gone for 367 yards and 0 touchdowns, on pace for 1200 yards, a far cry from his potential. As we saw with Amari Cooper for the Raiders last Thursday, the goal will be getting Jones going and he will likely be peppered with passes.

Runningback Devonta Freeman is on pace for the best season of his career, however, which is a bright spot. And it definitely isn’t all bad, as they also sport the 5th overall offense, which is a massive advantage facing the last place defense.

Prediction

Atlanta Falcons 31 – 27 New England Patriots

These are two very talented Quarterbacks going at it once again, with the deciding factor being Atlanta boasts a much stronger team top to bottom, and it shows.

Look for Atlanta to cover the 3 1/2 spread (-120), win (+150), and combine for over 56 1/2 points (-110).

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