Eibar v. Malaga Betting Odds – August 21th

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There are much flashier teams to write on than the 10th and 11th seed Primera Liga teams. But what does reading an article on how badly Real Madrid will mash Deportivo tell you that you couldn’t figure out on your own? Who knows, I may do it anyway.

But what makes this fixture interesting is that the odds favor 11th place Malaga, while the stats favor 10th place Eibar. That’s a lot of money to be snatched up.

Odds:

Malaga – (21/20)

Eibar – (13/5)

Draw – (23/10)

Goals Over/Under – 2.5
                    Ov – (23/20)
                        Un – (4/6)

Both Teams Score
         Yes – (19/20)
              No – (4/5)

Taking a look at the odds, neither team will win this one. If Malaga doesn’t win, then it’s a coin flip between Los Armeros and a draw, right? Well, not quite. Coming off last season, Eibar scored 7 more goals than Malaga, and allowed 4 fewer goals for an overall goal difference of 11. Neither teams are prolific on offense, but Eibar’s total (56) sees them in line with a 6th place league finish, where Malaga’s 49 sees them down around 15th.

Eibar has two +10 goal scorers who look to keep up their good play from the last season, Sergi Enrich scoring 11 and Pedro Leon scoring 10. They had 4 total players score +7. That may not sound very impressive, but when it’s noteworthy when you consider Malaga has zero players with more than 6 goals after losing Sandro Ramirez to Everton.

Prediction 

Malaga 0-1 Eibar

these Two teams do not sit too far apart on the league table. One team lost talent and the other kept their core together. This should translate into a safe bet that both teams won’t score, and surely won’t hit 3 goals total. A £100 bet on Los Armeros, the better team, stands to make you £360.