Monaco v. Paris Saint Germain Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.11.26

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Paris Saint Germain


Monaco repeating their Ligue 1 title hasn’t been much of a situation since Neymar moved to Paris. Now PSG is running away from the rest of the league going into what will be a hotly contested match between the top of the table.

Odds

Monaco – (5.50)

PSG – (1.53)

Draw – (4.75)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (1.36)

Under – (3.10)

Both Clubs To Score

Yes – (1.50)

No – (2.50)

This is one of the few leagues in all of Europe the Monaco can be 9-2-2 and still be multiple games out of first position. Showing incredible dominance, its been four matches since they’ve conceded a loss, going 6-1-1 in their last 8 fixtures.

Now with the advantageous position of hosting the first match against Paris, Monaco looks to turn in another strong home showing. Going 5-1-0 with the pitch advantage, only PSG has a better home record. Scoring 21 of their 35 goals at home, second in Ligue 1, Monaco is averaging a monstrous 3.87 goals a fixture at home, and have scored in every home match this year.

This is in large part due to the godlike performance of Falcao this year, scoring 13 of Monaco’s 35, 7 of which have been on their own pitch. Unfortunately, nobody outside of Falcao has more than 3 goals, so they will be dependant on their star forward for this match.

Not to be outdone on defense, Monaco has conceded the third-fewest tallies so far with 13, only allowing 4 with pitch advantage. They have an incredible 50% clean sheet percentage while playing at home.

And then there’s the undefeated Paris Saint Germain, who have been just as dominant in every way but could be at a disadvantage here. On the road, PSG has gone 11-2-0, leads Ligue 1 in Goals scored with 40 and has only conceded 9 on the year.

What is deceptive about these stats is only 17 of their 40 goals scored and 4 of their 9 conceded have come away from Paris. That means their home goal difference is +4, but on the road it is only +2. Nothing to shake your fist at, but a notable lack of production by comparison.

That’s not to say they don’t have goal production on the road though, as Cavani and Neymar Jr. have combined for 22 goals on the year, 9 of which were scored on the road.

For In-Play Punters: Paris Saint Germain has scored the opening goal in 77% of their matches, but has conceded a goal after the 75th minute in 44% of their fixtures.

Prediction

Monaco 2 – 1 Paris Saint Germain

(Correcting predicting this score is valued at 17.00)

PSG’s performance this year has been undeniably great, but that shouldn’t take away from a club like Monaco. Their incredible home advantage against Paris’ quietly disappointing road stats lends itself to an upset in match 14 of Ligue 1 action.

Look for Monaco (5.50), Over 2.5 goals (1.36), and both clubs to score (1.50) all to hit.

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