Shakhtar Donetsk v. Manchester City Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.12.05

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Manchester City


It’s rare to see Manchester City not the overwhelming favorite in just about every match. But this week they face Champions League group rival Shakhtar Donetsk in The Ukraine facing an uphill odds battle.

Odds

Shakhtar – (2.37)

Manchester City – (3.25)

Draw – (3.40)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (1.80)

Under – (2.00)

Both Clubs To Score

Yes – (1.61)

No – (2.20)

Manchester City has been no less than the most dominant club in all of Europe, leading the Premier League with 43 points and scoring an insane 46 goals, resulting in a 14-1-0 record. That success has carried over to The Champions League as they are leading Group F with a 5-0-0 and a +10 goal difference. They’ve got a 6 point lead over their opponents in this fixture Shakhtar.

The last time City and Shakhtar faced off ended in a 2-0 Manchester victory. That’s a common outcome for the powerhouse, as 57% of their matches have ended in them leaving their opponents pitch with a clean sheet. They’ve only allowed 0.6 goals per Champions League fixture and 0.66 goals conceded. 0.57 on the road,  in Premier play.

This, matched with their incredible offensive output has made them an unstoppable force. Averaging a wild 2.57 goals per road match, Manchester City has a +36 goal difference in Premier League and +10 in Champions. Doing the Lion’s share of the work are Sterling, Aguero, Jesus, and Sane, combining for 32 of Man City’s 43 goals. This includes Sterling, Aguero, and Jesus tallying 12 on the road of their 26 combined.

The story is quite a bit different for Shakhtar. Leading the Ukraine Premier League with a record of 13-3-2, 4 points ahead of Kiev and a +21 goal difference. In the Champions League, they’ve surprised a lot of people, sitting in second ahead of Napoli with a 3-0-2 record with a -1 difference.

Yet to pitch a clean sheet against tougher international competition, Shakhtar isn’t even near the top of their own League with a 33% clean sheet percentage. Luckily for them they still manage a positive home conceded goal percentage, only allowing 0.89 goals with pitch advantage. In Champions League play The Ukrainian club has allowed 8 in 5 matches, but only 2 at home.

In the Premier League, they have tallied a league-best 37 goals, averaging 1.90 goals at home. It’s not as positive for Shakhtar in Champions League, as they’ve scored 7 through 5 matches, ranked third in Group F. in the Ukrainian Premier League Ferreyra, Marlos, and Bernard have combined for 26 of their 37 goals, 13 of those coming at home for the trio of scorers.

For In-Play Punters: Shakhtar has allowed a goal in the first 15 minutes of 31% of their matches. 75% of Manchester City’s matches have totaled over 2.5 goals, and have scored the opening goal in 73% of their matches.

Prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk 0 – 3 Manchester City

(Correctly predicting this outcome is valued at 29.00)

While they’ve been doing surprisingly well in Group F, Shakhtar isn’t in the same league as Manchester City. Manchester shows next to no weakness, even away from home, and aren’t facing a club that can truly test them here.

Look for Manchester City (3.25), Over 2.5 Goals (1.80), and ‘No’ on Both Clubs to score (2.20)  all to hit.

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