Tony Ferguson v. Kevin Lee Betting Odds and Tips – 10.07.2017

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With UFC finding its way back to Las Vegas again, Light Weight Powerhouses Tony Ferguson comes in favored over the younger Kevin Lee for the Interim title win. But how wide is the margin?

Odds

Ferguson – (-225)

Lee – (+175)

The tale of the tape has to be as close as any other. Tony Ferguson is 8 years Lee’s elder with a record of 23-3, a winning percentage of 88%. He’s 2″ taller but has a shorter reach by 1″. Lee has scored a record of 16-2, a winning percentage of 89%. They have Identical time in the ring with 9:47.

As a striker, Ferguson lands 1.6 more punches per minute and defends at a 12% higher rate. With that being said, He has only registered 1 knockout in his last 11 matches, none in his last 6. In Kevin’s last 6, on the other hand, he has totaled¬†2 knockouts. Not groundbreaking by any means, but shows his aggressive finishing streak over Tony.

On the ground Ferguson an 8% higher takedown defense rate, but other than that they average an identical 41% takedown rate and 1.5 submissions per match. Lee’s big advantage, however, is a takedown per minute count nearly 3 full takedowns higher than Ferguson. But, as everything else in this match, they both have near identical submission victories with Ferguson submitting 5 of his last 11 opponents, Lee taking 4 of his last 11.

Prediction

Kevin Lee in the 4th via Submission

This is a tough on to make a call on either way, but with neither fighter showing absolute dominance in any field, or at the very least trading slight edges, for us it comes down to Kevin’s youth showing through his recent streak of finishes. Being able to end a fight early in a variety of ways is a huge edge over a fighter like Ferguson that, at least through his recent fights, is showing one-dimensionality.

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