VfB Stuttgart v. Mainz 05 Betting Odds – 2017.08.26

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In their first week after a promotion from the Bundesliga II, VfB Stuttgart’s season started the way you’d expect; a 2-0 loss to Hertha Berlin. So why are the new kids on the block favored over relegation dodgers, Mainz? Their Goal scoring phenom, Simon Therrode.

Odds

VfB Stuttgart – (5/4)

Mainz 05 – (21/10)

Draw – (12/5)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5
                   Over – (4/5)
                 Under – (1/1)

Both Teams to Score
                Yes – (8/13)
                  No – (6/5)

Last season Mainz only missed having to play to stave off relegation by scoring more games than Wolfsburg, who tied them in league points. So if you’re looking for a silver lining, it’s that they outscored 10 teams and averaged  1.16 goals a game. On the one hand, they lost to another newly promoted team last week, Hannover 96; on the other hand, it was only 1-0, a winnable fixture.

Coming into this season and this week versus Stuttgart, Mainz highest returning goal scorers are four men share the top of the list with 5 each. To win, they’d need some surprise offense from someone, but as of now, nobody stands out.

It’s always tough to judge how a team will compete in higher competition when it comes to Stuttgart. In Bundesliga II, They finished first with 63 goals, far and away the most, and 37 goals against; a high total, but around the average for the league. After a 1-0 loss last week, Stuttgart will need to shore up their defense against even the weakest offense in Mainz 05.

Simon Therrode is VfB’s champion on the attack, having scored 25 of Stuttgart’s 63 goals; the next closest totaling 6. If anyone is gearing up to score, it’s him, but we’ve yet to see if he will translate to Bundesliga I.

Prediction

VfB Stuttgart 1 – 1 Mainz 05

With Mainz missing relegation on a technicality, the competition should be fairly even. This is a perfect situation for both squads to notch their first goals of the season, but I don’t believe they will hit the 2.5 mark, or find a winner by the 90-minute mark.