Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.11.18

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With 11 matches played in the Premier League, we draw closer to the first third of the year coming to an end. At the moment, Tottenham’s recent win puts them at a tie in points with Manchester United for second on the league table, facing an Arsenal squad coming off a loss that could’ve had them 1 point behind their opponents.

Odds

Arsenal – (2.50)

Tottenham – (2.62)

Draw – (3.50)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (1.57)

Under – (2.35)

Both Clubs to Score

Yes – (1.50)

No – (2.50)

This fixture sees Tottenham with a real opportunity to leapfrog Manchester United in the league table after a loss to them two matches ago. Both clubs sit at 23 points on the year, with Man. Utd’s +23 goal difference giving them the edge. A win here for either club would be nice, with every club between 2nd and 7th within 4 points of each other, including Chelsea who could also jump into second at 22, and Arsenal at 19 in the mix.

After a loss to the League leaders Manchester City, Arsenal stands at a huge advantage this week, playing on their home pitch. Undefeated at Highbury through 5 matches, The Gunners average over a goal more than the league average while playing at their home pitch, three of which they’ve managed a clean sheet. 13 of their 20 goals for the year have come in North London in large part thanks to Lacazette and Danny Welbeck. The Leading scorer for Arsenal, Lacazette, has netted 6 on the year, 4 of which are at home, and all 3 of Welbeck’s were in front of The Gunner faithful as well.

Alexis Sanchez’s fall from grace continues to be sheer, however, after scoring 24 a year ago has only managed a single goal in in the month and a half he’s logged and is being placed in reserves.

While Arsenal plays incredibly well at home, Tottenham has been one of the best clubs on the road this year. In fact, they are only a game back of having the best away record in the Premier League. Recently suffering their only defeat away from home to Manchester United 1-0, Tottenham was 4-0 on the road, 3 of which were clean sheets, scoring 12 of their 20 goals and only allowing 2.

They average nearly a goal and a half more than the rest of the league while on the road, and that is in large part due to Harry Kane. Kane leads The Premier League in goals with 8, a 40% share of Tottenham’s offense, 6 of which have come away from White Hart Lane.

For In-Play Punters, it’s important to note Tottenham has notched the first goal in 75% of their matches, but have allowed 57% of their goals to come against them in the last 15′ of the match.

Prediction

Arsenal 3 – 2 Tottenham

Most any other club would look mismatched against an Arsenal club at Highbury, but it just so happens that Tottenham is the second best club on the road in the league. Where Arsenal averages 2.60 goals for and 0.80 goals against, Tottenham averages 2.40 and 0.60. This is as tight as they come, but what it comes down to is The Gunners ability to lock in while playing at home, and The fact that shutting down of Alexis Sanchez will give their leading scorer Lacazette more playing time should rival that of Harry Kane.

Look for Arsenal (2.50), Over 2.5 goals (1.57), and both clubs to score (1.50) all to hit.

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