Crystal Palace v. Stoke City Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.11.25

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Premier League


Not every fixture is a battle for the top of the table. For some like Crystal Palace, it’s about trying to steal one from the middle of the pack Stoke City in an attempt to dodge relegation. Lucky for them, they get home pitch advantage, one of the only places they aren’t last in the Premier League (they’re second to last).

Odds

Crystal Palace – (2.05)

Stoke City – (3.60)

Draw – (3.30)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (2.10)

Under – (1.70)

Both Clubs To Score

Yes – (1.90)

No – (1.90)

This is not the best year Crystal Palace has played. After a dismal 0-0-7 open to their campaign, they’ve been put against the wall to escape relegation. The silver lining for them, however, is that since then they’ve gone 1-2-2, putting them one match behind Swansea City and only 4 points from escaping the bottom two table spots.

Their luck continues into this matchup, as Crystal Palace gets to play on their home pitch, where they perform notably better. They’ve managed to leave with points in 50% of their home fixtures, going 1-2-3, including a shocking upset over Chelsea. They average 1 goal at Selhurst Park, scoring all 6 of their tallies on the year in 3 of their 6 home matches. They also average 1.83 goals conceded, 0.70 more than the Premier League average, but 0.30 less than they average on the road. So it’s not all bad I suppose.

Crystal Palace’s hero is undoubtedly Zaha, who holds a massive 50% share of their offense with 3 goals, all of which are at home. If you were to bet on a Palace player to score at some point in the match, it’s him.

For Stoke City, the scene is not as bleak, but only marginally brighter. On the year Stoke is 3-4-5, putting them 15th on the table. On the road, they are 1-2-3 as well, scoring 7 of their 15 goals and conceding 13 of their 24. This puts their offensive and defensive efforts while on enemy pitches on par with Crystal Palace’s efforts at home, making this a tight match up all around.

For Stoke City, three players champion the offense; Diouf, Choupo-Moting, and Crouch, all scoring 3 a piece, including 3 total goals on the road. This has cause Stoke City to put at least one in on the road in 5 straight away matches.

For In-Play Punters: Crystal Palace have scored 67% of their goals in the first half, but go into halftime losing in 58% of their matches, including conceding the first goal in 83% of their fixtures.

Prediction

Crystal Palace 1 – 2 Stoke City

(Correctly predicting this score is valued at 15.00)

Stoke City has not had the worst season thus far, and this is a good opportunity to turn things around. They’ve played in matches that have topped 2.5 goals 67% of the time, so it’s fair to assume that Crystal Palace’s home-only offense will put at least one up, but it won’t be enough.

Look for Stoke City (3.60), Over 2.5 goals (2.10), and both clubs to score (1.90) all to hit.

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