Dortmund v. Schalke 04 Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.11.25

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Dortmund


What a dramatic fall from grace for Dortmund over the last month and a half. Only 4 matches ago they were top of the Bundesliga table, and since then they’ve gone 0-1-4, conceding four table spots and locking them in a tie for 5th with Hoffenheim. Now they face Schalke 04, recently climbing to a tie for second place.

Dortmund – (1.60)

Schalke – (4.75)

Draw – (4.33)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (1.53)

Under – (2.40)

Both Clubs to Score

Yes – (1.61)

No – (2.20)

It’s a very different match for both these clubs. For Schalke, going 4-2-0 in their last 6 has put them within two matches distance from the top of the table. For Dortmund, just trying to save themselves from falling out of the top 5 all together. Having lost their last two fixtures at home by an aggregate score of 6-3, Dortmund looks to get back on track against the second leading defensive club in The Bundesliga.

For Schalke, a game away from home turf may very well be a blessing. Through 12 matches that have them sitting at 7-2-3, 3-0-2 of that has come on the road. That may not pass the eye test, but it is the 6th best away record in The Bundesliga. It also helps to consider that they are facing the 11th worst home record in Dortmund.

On the road, Schalke has been involved in some quiet matches. scoring 5 of their 16 goals and allowing only 4 of their second best 10 goals conceded have them averaging 1 goal for and 0.80 against away from Veltins Arena. 2 of their 3 road victories have come with clean sheets, but both of their defeats saw them blanked as well. Their uneven trends don’t stop their, as Schalke boasts three strong offensive talents in Goretzka, Burgstaller, and Bentaleb, all of whom combine for 11 goals. Unfortunately, that is 11 of 16 total, 8th in the league. Only 3 of those 11 are were scored on the road.

Still, Schalke 04 have the second best defense in The Bundesliga, conceding only 10 goals, a mere 2 more than the stacked Bayern Munich.

Dortmund, on the other hand, has had a tough time keeping clubs from celebrating for 7 straight matches now. They’ve gone 0-1-4 in their last 5 since starting the year 6-1-0, and have conceded goals 16 goals in their last 7 fixtures. If there is a silver lining, its that they have only allowed 7 goals at their home pitch, and are still scoring with relative ease, putting up 29 goals, only 1 behind league leader Bayern Munich.

At home, Dortmund is averaging 3.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded. This large offensive performance is in large part thanks to Aubameyang, whose put in 8 of his club-leading 10 goals at home. Philipp has also tallied 4 of his 6 at Westfalenstadion.

For In-Play Punters: Dortmund has gone into halftime leading the match 58% of the time.

Prediction

Dortmund 3 – 1 Schalke

(Correctly Predicting this score is valued at 12.00)

After beginning the year 3-0-3, Schalke 04 is riding high, right into second position is a tough Bundesliga. Still, They face some glaring issues, including their inability to flex offensive muscle like half the league ahead of them. Facing a Dortmund squad that has been involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals 83% of the year, you need to be able to go blow for blow with the Borussia club.

Look for Dortmund (1.60), over 2.5 goals (1.53), and Yes on Both clubs scoring (1.51) all to hit.

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