Juventus v. Barcelona Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.11.22

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Juventus


Champions League play presses on with a rematch of powerhouses Juventus and Barcelona, dominating their group and sitting at the top of their table. After an opening week loss to Barcelona, Juventus looks to even the odds.

Odds

Juventus – (2.75)

Barcelona – (2.40)

Draw – (3.50)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (1.85)

Under – (1.95)

Both Clubs to Score

Yes – (1.70)

No – (2.05)

In their first meeting, Primera Liga stars Barcelona and defending Champions League runners-up Juventus ended in a 3-0 win for the Spanish squad. Since then, Both clubs have gone 2-1-0 in Champions play, each coming off their lone draws.

Now on their home pitch in Italy, Juventus hopes to get revenge and bring themselves into first position.  In Series A play Juventus is second on the League table at 10-1-1, with the most goals scored with 35. At home, they’re 6-0-1, scoring a full goal more and conceding a full goal less than the league average with a pitch advantage. In 4 of their 6 wins at home, Juventus has won with a clean sheet and managed to notch a goal in both halves.

In fact, they haven’t been kept off the scoresheet once all year. That is thanks to the godlike performances from Dybala and Higuain, who have combined for 18 of Juventus’ 35 goals, 9 of which have come on home soil.

On the other side, Barcelona has been on a rampage. First position in The Primera Liga, and without a loss in both Spain and The Champions League, They come in 10-1-0. They are the highest percentage of clean sheets in La Liga with only 4 goals against, an tied for the goal scoring lead with 30 and no matches without a goal.

Away from their home pitch, Barcelona has only allowed a pair of goals with a goal difference of +8. This is an insane advantage, being away from home and dominating to the tune of an average of a 2-0 finish in their favor.

If there was anywhere they could look to see an improvement, it would be that their goal scorers don’t seem to put up the same individual numbers away from home as consistently. Messi, for example, has 12 of Barcelona’s 30 goals, but only 3 have come in enemy territory. Now without Neymar, their next highest scorers are Paulinho Bezerra and Luis Suarez with 3 apiece, combining for 4 goals on the road. Though they’ve been so dominant, Juventus isn’t a club you can hope Messi can carry you through.

For In Play Punters: Barcelona has scored the first goal in 82% of their 11 Primera Liga matches but only led at halftime in 64%, where Juventus has scored first in 75% and led at half in 75%. This means Barcelona may be susceptible to scoring early but giving up the lead or falling behind by half.

Prediction

Juventus 1 – 2 Barcelona

For both clubs at their respective field positions, both clubs scoring happens roughly 20%. The goal total reaches more than 2.5 goals scored for Juventus games at home over 85% of the time, and Barcelona alone has scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. With all that being said, the advantage goes to Barcelona, who do such an incredible job keeping the ball out of their net, yet to suffer their first loss.

Look for Barcelona (2.40), Over 2.5 goals (1.85), and Yes on Both clubs scoring (1.70) all to hit.

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