Malaga v. Levante Betting Odds and Tips – 2017.12.01

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Things could be going better for Malaga and Levante. Levante sits in 15th position, one win from jumping to 8th, or one loss from dropping to 17th. Malaga is fairing much worse, stuck in relegation multiple wins back from freedom. Will home pitch advantage get them going in the right direction?

Odds

Malaga – (1.75)

Levante – (4.50)

Draw – (3.80)

Goal Over/Under – 2.5

Over – (2.05)

Under – (1.75)

Both Clubs to Score

Yes – (1.95)

No – (1.80)

Not much has gone right in the way of earning victories for Malaga this year. Going 2-1-10 so far, the silver lining that could be pulled from that is they’ve gone 2-0-2 in their last 4, including their most recent loss where they gave powerhouse Real Madrid a run for their money in a 3-2 match finish.

Not the strongest club at home, Malaga has tallied all 7 of their league points on their own pitch, and all in their last 8 matches, having their last 8 stronger than their opponents Levante.

Their home offense is considerably strong, with 9 of their 11 goals coming at home. That has a home average of 1.50 goals scored per match, not too shabby. Almost no heroes on attack for them, however, with Rolan leading the charge with 3, 2 of which have come at home.

The bad news understandably continues there for a bottom three club, as Malaga hasn’t posted a clean sheet at home all season, and average 2,00 goals conceded with pitch advantage. While not good by league standards, there is something to be said for only allowing 12 of your 28 conceded goals at home.

Levante is only doing marginally better coming into this fixture, however. Going 3-6-4 on the year, the club has had a rough 8 game stretch resulting in a 1-3-4 record. Away from home, they are only managing 1-3-1, the definition of ‘Not Great, but Not Terrible.’

On offense on the road, Levante has stayed notably quiet. a meager 5 of their 14 goals have come as the visiting club, giving them an average of 1.00. Of their top goal scorers Morales and Bahdi, who coming for 8 goals on the year, only 2 of those have come on the road; no single player has more than 1 road goal across the club.

Similar to Malaga, Levante has seen some success on defense, only allowing 7 of their conceded 20 goals away from home. They also have blanked clubs in 40% of their away matches, an advantage they hold over Malaga, and notably better than their defensive performances at home.

For In-Play Punters: Malaga has conceded the opening goal in 85% of their matches. Both Malaga and Levante have scored 36% of their goals after the 75th minute of the match.

Prediction

Malaga 1 – 2 Levante

(Correctly predicting this outcome is valued at 15.00)

While Malaga’s 8 game stretch has them riding hotter than Levante, there’s¬†something to be said for a club that has conceded a goal in every single match of the year. This puts the club behind the 8 Ball immediately.

Look for Levante (4.50), Over 2.5 Goals (2.05), and Both Clubs to Score (1.95) all to hit.

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