What Does Real Madrid’s mass exodus Mean for their Odds?

For a team that’s won two consecutive Champions league finals, the future is looking a little cloudy for Real Madrid, if not bleak.

With the impending departure of the 32-year-old star Christiano Ronaldo, the Spanish club could ill-afford to lose any more stars.  Now, young midfielder James Rodriguez and signed with Bayern Munich, and the loses could trickle down to midfielder stars Toni Kroos and Isco as well.

Manchester United goalkeeper David De Gea is looking for a return to Spain, a move Manchester would only agree to if it resulted in them receiving Kroos in return. Real Madrid is also targeting Chelsea front man Hazard, who could bring a lot of offense to the team, but that has been rumored to be too much competition for Isco, who believes he can be a consistent starting 11 man for another team.

So what does this mean exactly for their odds?

Initially, they look like the favorites again to win La Liga at 10/11 (Barcelona also sits at 10/11), and are at the top of the Champions League table as well at 5/1. Barcelona is also 5/1, and Bayern Munich is listed 11/2. So not too shabby. But if you take a closer look at the production they’re losing, it’s hard to not be concerned.

Ronaldo: 25 Goals, 6 Assists, 4 Man of the Matches
Kroos: 3 Goals, 12 Assists, 7.67 Player rating
Isco: 10 Goals, 8 Assists in 30 appearances
Rodriguez: 8 Goals, 6 Assists, 89% passes completed

Combined, these four contributed to 74% of Real Madrid’s offense, scoring just under half of the clubs 106 goals. Add that to Gareth Bale’s injury woes, the team could face some rocky terrain moving forward. Even only losing Ronaldo would be bad enough, seeing as no team can “next man up” 25 goals from the bench.  Winning games is not all about goals, but in a literal sense, goals win games, and in this situation, Real Madrid stands to lose a lot of goals.

It is noted that if added to the club, Eden Hazard scored 16 times for Chelsea, which could help. But adding one to a depleted midfield will not win them a second straight Champions title.

Considering Diego Costa has been connected to Atletico Madrid, we could see odds reflecting Barcelona at the top of the table, with Atletico by no means overtaking Real Madrid, but absolutely closing the gap.

I forsee a second place finish, with heavy pressure from Atletico Madrid if they can not stop the bleeding.

Take a closer look at the Odds to Win La Liga as it progresses through the season.

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